Avellino v PadovaSerie B · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00
Full time 0-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Avellino vs Padova: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
Serie B, Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Avellino 0-1 Padova.
Full time: Avellino 0-1 Padova. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Avellino to score 1.53 goals and Padova 0.96. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.02 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.98 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.15 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Avellino v Padova | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.3% | 7.54 |
| 1–0 | 11.6% | 8.64 |
| 2–0 | 9.7% | 10.29 |
| 0–0 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 2–1 | 9.3% | 10.72 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino or draw | 77% | 1.29 |
| Padova or draw | 50% | 1.98 |
| Avellino or Padova (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Avellino, draw no bet | 69% | 1.46 |
| Padova, draw no bet | 31% | 3.20 |
League position
Avellino7of 20, 11 points from 7 games
Padova16of 20, 7 points from 7 games
In the table, Avellino are in position 7 of 20 with 11 points, and Padova in position 16 with 7.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Avellino vs Padova played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Avellino
Tomasso MartinelliGMichael VenturiCDPatrick EnriciCD-LAlessandro Di BitontoCD-RMichele BesaggioCM-LMartin PalumboCM-RLuca PalmieroAMBrando MoruzziLMFilippo MissoriRMRaffaele RussoCF-LWalid CheddiraCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Luca Di MaggioOn for Luca Palmiero
59'
Andrea FavilliOn for Walid Cheddira
59'
Armando IzzoOn for Alessandro Di Bitonto
66'
Kevin Varas MarcilloOn for Pietro Fusi
74'
Tommaso BiasciOn for Martin Palumbo
77'
Marco PompettiOn for Giovanni Giunti
77'
Mattia BortolussiOn for Gabriele Artistico
82'
Sebastiano Di PaoloOn for Brando Moruzzi
90'+2'
Alessandro SeghettiOn for Luca Moro
90'+2'
Nicolas GalazziOn for Emanuele Zuelli
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
1Avellino
1Draws
1Padova
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Avellino vs Mantova
Sun 22 Nov, 14:00. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Avellino vs Padova?
Padova won 1–0 away at Avellino (Serie B, Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
When was Avellino vs Padova played?
Serie B, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
