Avellino vs Sampdoria: result and prediction

Serie BFriday 9 Oct 2026

Avellino

Full timeHalf time 4–1

Sampdoria

Key stats

9Shots12

4Shots on target3

0Corners6

11Fouls12

4Yellow cards1

Who will win Avellino vs Sampdoria?

Serie B, Fri 9 Oct, 20:30 (UK time). Full time: Avellino 4-1 Sampdoria.

Avellino v SampdoriaSerie B · Fri 9 Oct, 20:30

Full time 4-1

37%Avellino

31%Draw

33%Sampdoria

fair 2.72fair 3.27fair 3.07

These were our chances before kick-off.

Our modelfrom the assessment run on this fixture

Full time: Avellino 4-1 Sampdoria. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

Our model expects Avellino to score 1.14 goals and Sampdoria 1.06. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.

Bet	Our chance	Fair odds
Both teams to score: yes	45%	2.21
Both teams to score: no	55%	1.82
Over 1.5 goals	65%	1.53
Over 2.5 goals	38%	2.65
Under 2.5 goals	62%	1.61
Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.54

Correct score prediction

The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.

Avellino v Sampdoria	Our chance	Fair odds
1–1	14.1%	7.08
1–0	11.9%	8.39
0–0	11.8%	8.46
0–1	11.0%	9.09
2–1	7.6%	13.09

Double chance and draw no bet

What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.

Bet	Our chance	Fair odds
Avellino or draw	67%	1.48
Sampdoria or draw	63%	1.58
Avellino or Sampdoria (no draw)	69%	1.44
Avellino, draw no bet	53%	1.89
Sampdoria, draw no bet	47%	2.13

League position

Avellino7of 20, 7 points from 5 games

Sampdoria18of 20, 4 points from 5 games

In the table, Avellino are in position 7 of 20 with 7 points, and Sampdoria in position 18 with 4.

What the full research adds

Win, draw and loss chances

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

The five likeliest scores

The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers

The edge in points, and every source the research read

The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.

18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.