These were our chances before kick-off.
Modena vs Hellas Verona: result and prediction
- Caso 13'
- Montevago 85'
- Belotti 90'+5'
- Mosquera 24'
- Mosquera 28'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Serie B, Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 (UK time). Full time: Modena 3-2 Hellas Verona.
Full time: Modena 3-2 Hellas Verona. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Modena to score 1.39 goals and Hellas Verona 1.17. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.90 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Modena v Hellas Verona | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.2% | 7.55 |
| 1–0 | 10.0% | 9.96 |
| 2–1 | 8.8% | 11.43 |
| 0–0 | 8.4% | 11.93 |
| 0–1 | 8.3% | 12.00 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Modena or draw | 69% | 1.45 |
| Hellas Verona or draw | 59% | 1.71 |
| Modena or Hellas Verona (no draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| Modena, draw no bet | 57% | 1.75 |
| Hellas Verona, draw no bet | 43% | 2.34 |
League position
In the table, Modena are in position 6 of 20 with 10 points, and Hellas Verona in position 9 with 7.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Modena vs Hellas Verona played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
Form
Head to head
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Next up: Hellas Verona vs Cesena
Fri 20 Nov, 19:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Modena won 3–2 against Hellas Verona (Serie B, Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 UK time).
When was Modena vs Hellas Verona played?
Serie B, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 UK time.