Padova v CarrareseSerie B · Sun 11 Oct, 17:15
Full time 0-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Padova vs Carrarese: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser40'
Filippo OlianaYellow card
Half time0–1
51'
51'
Gianluca CaprariYellow card
62'
Matthias BraunöderYellow card
80'
Niccolò BelloniYellow card
82'
Gabriele ParlantiYellow card
Full time0–2
Key stats
Who will win Padova vs Carrarese?
Serie B, Sun 11 Oct, 17:15 (UK time). Full time: Padova 0-2 Carrarese.
Full time: Padova 0-2 Carrarese. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Padova to score 1.26 goals and Carrarese 1.09. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.93 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.75 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Padova v Carrarese | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.8% | 7.24 |
| 1–0 | 11.3% | 8.87 |
| 0–0 | 10.3% | 9.74 |
| 0–1 | 9.7% | 10.28 |
| 2–1 | 8.2% | 12.15 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Padova or draw | 69% | 1.46 |
| Carrarese or draw | 61% | 1.65 |
| Padova or Carrarese (no draw) | 71% | 1.42 |
| Padova, draw no bet | 56% | 1.80 |
| Carrarese, draw no bet | 44% | 2.25 |
League position
Padova11of 20, 7 points from 5 games
Carrarese20of 20, 1 point from 5 games
In the table, Padova are in position 11 of 20 with 7 points, and Carrarese in position 20 with 1.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Padova vs Carrarese played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Padova
Alessandro SorrentinoGMatteo LovatoCDAlessandro DellavalleCD-LFilippo SgarbiCD-RGianluca CaprariCM-LPietro FusiCM-REmanuele ZuelliAMMatteo CocchiLMAlessandro CapelliRMLuca MoroCF-LMattia BortolussiCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Gabriele ArtisticoOn for Mattia Bortolussi
45'
Giacomo MarconiOn for Fabio Abiuso
56'
Francesco Di MarianoOn for Matteo Cocchi
56'
Marco PompettiOn for Gianluca Caprari
60'
Luka TopalovicOn for Tommaso Rubino
67'
Nicolas GalazziOn for Pietro Fusi
72'
Jacopo MartiniOn for Nicholas Schiavi
72'
Tommaso GuercioOn for Jonas Rouhi
79'
Alessandro SeghettiOn for Luca Moro
90'+3'
Nicolò CudrigOn for Gabriele Parlanti
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
1Padova
1Draws
1Carrarese
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Padova vs Carrarese?
Carrarese won 2–0 away at Padova (Serie B, Sun 11 Oct, 17:15 UK time).
When was Padova vs Carrarese played?
Serie B, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 17:15 UK time.
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