Portsmouth v Sheffield United prediction
Portsmouth v Sheffield United on Wednesday: we make the Blades 36.8% and saw 2.88 at LeoVegas, a 2.1 point gap. Our chances, injuries and the risks.
On this page
We make Sheffield United slight favourites at Fratton Park: the Blades 36.8%, Portsmouth 34.2%, the draw 29.0%. The best price we saw on Sheffield United was 2.88 at LeoVegas (SE) against our fair price of 2.72, a 2.1 point gap. It is a thin edge and an estimate, not a promise.
The match is Wednesday 14 October at 18:45 UTC, the midweek Championship round straight after the international break.
Our numbers
| Outcome | Our chance | Fair price | Best price seen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 34.2% | 2.92 | ||
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | ||
| Sheffield United | 36.8% | 2.72 | 2.88, LeoVegas (SE) | +2.1 pts |
At 2.88 the market implies 34.7% for Sheffield United; we have 36.8%. The quote is from Saturday lunchtime and kick-off is four days later, so treat it as a snapshot. If you want to know how much an old quote is worth, read how to read a BAI8 price that is days old.
What the public evidence says
- Portsmouth's treatment room is full. Lineups Today lists Ogilvie, Umeh-Chibueze, Murphy, Anderson, Brooke-Smith, Kosznovszky and Waddingham as unavailable, with Milovanovic doubtful. Transfermarkt adds Swanson and Farrell.
- Sheffield United have fewer gaps. The same source has Burrows, Seriki and One out. Transfermarkt lists Shackleton. Injury lists differ between sites, so trust the official team news on the day.
- Recent meeting. Sheffield United won the last two league meetings, the most recent 1–0 at Fratton Park in February, per Elofoot.
What could make us wrong
Fratton Park under lights is a hard place to play, and home advantage in the Championship is real. If Portsmouth get even two of their injured players back, our home number is too low. The draw at 29.0% is the most likely way for a Blades backer to lose.
What this does not tell you
It does not say Sheffield United will win: on our numbers they fail to about 63% of the time. A 2.1 point gap is small enough that ordinary price movement before Wednesday can close it.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Common questions
Who do BAI8 make favourites for Portsmouth v Sheffield United?
Sheffield United, narrowly. We give them 36.8%, Portsmouth 34.2% and the draw 29.0%.
What is the best price BAI8 saw on Sheffield United?
2.88 at LeoVegas (SE), quoted at 13:00 UTC on 10 October. Our fair price is 2.72, a gap of 2.1 points.
When is Portsmouth v Sheffield United?
Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC (19:45 UK time) at Fratton Park, Championship matchday 10.
Who is injured for Portsmouth v Sheffield United?
Portsmouth have a long list including Ogilvie, Murphy, Anderson, Waddingham and Kosznovszky. Sheffield United are without Burrows, Seriki and One, per Lineups Today.