Medvedev v Alcaraz prediction: Vienna semi-final
Medvedev and Alcaraz meet in the Vienna semi-final on Saturday. Form, head-to-head, schedule, and why our Desk call on this one is members-only.
On this page
Daniil Medvedev plays Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open semi-finals in Vienna on Saturday 31 October, not before 15:00 local time (14:00 UTC) on Centre Court. Alcaraz, seeded second and in on a wild card, leads their meetings 6–3; Medvedev, seeded third, won the last one. BAI8 published a researched call on the match before it started; this piece is the form, the history and the order of play behind it.
When is Medvedev v Alcaraz
It is the first semi-final on Centre Court, after a wheelchair match at 12:30. Top seed Alexander Zverev plays Alex de Minaur not before 16:30 local time, per the ATP Tour order of play. The final is on Sunday.
Form and head-to-head
| Medvedev | Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| Seed | 3 | 2, wild card |
| Ranking | 5 | 3 |
| Quarter-final | Beat Adrian Mannarino | Beat Tommy Paul |
| Week before | Played the Almaty final |
Rankings from Tennis.com. Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 6–3, and 4–2 on hard courts, per Umpiry. Medvedev won the most recent meeting, the Indian Wells semi-final in March 2026, 6–3, 7–6. Alcaraz won the four meetings before that, including at Wimbledon and in Beijing in 2024. Medvedev dropped just five games against Mannarino.
Where our call sits
The Desk published its call on 30 October. Chance and price are for members; the rule is in members-only Desk calls: what you see and when. Our quarter-final cards, including de Minaur's win over Matteo Berrettini, are in Vienna Open quarter-final predictions. For how we read a two-way tennis price, see reading a tennis match market.
What this does not tell you
A head-to-head is a small sample spread over years and surfaces. It says nothing about how either player's body is after a week of indoor matches, and a retirement would change how bets settle; see tennis retirement rules in betting.
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Common questions
When is Medvedev v Alcaraz in Vienna?
Saturday 31 October 2026 on Centre Court, not before 15:00 in Vienna (14:00 UTC), in the Erste Bank Open semi-finals.
What is the head-to-head between Medvedev and Alcaraz?
Alcaraz leads 6–3 overall and 4–2 on hard courts, but Medvedev won their last meeting, the Indian Wells semi-final in March 2026, 6–3, 7–6.
Does BAI8 have a prediction for Medvedev v Alcaraz?
Yes. The Desk published a call on 30 October, but it is members-only, so we do not print its number here.