Vienna Open quarter-final predictions
All four Vienna quarter-finals on Friday 30 October, with times, the story so far and our public de Minaur call: 82.0% against a 1.48 price.
On this page
The top three seeds are all still in at the Erste Bank Open in Vienna, and all four quarter-finals are on Centre Court on Friday 30 October. The Desk has a call on every one. One is public, Alex de Minaur against Matteo Berrettini, and the other three are members-only until they settle on the record.
Friday's order of play
| Time (UTC) | Match | BAI8 call |
|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Adrian Mannarino v Daniil Medvedev (3) | Members only |
| Not before 14:00 | Tommy Paul (7) v Carlos Alcaraz | Members only |
| Not before 16:30 | Alexander Zverev (1) v Arthur Fery | Members only |
| Not before 19:00 | Matteo Berrettini v Alex de Minaur (5) | de Minaur, 82.0% |
Times are from the tournament schedule; Vienna and Paris are one hour ahead of UTC. Seeds in brackets, per the Erste Bank Open.
The public call: de Minaur
| Player | Our chance | Fair price | Best price seen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | 82.0% | 1.22 | 1.48, Bally Bet | +14.4 pts |
| Matteo Berrettini | 18.0% | 5.54 |
The 1.48 was quoted at 04:36 UTC on 30 October. The reasoning, and why a 14.4 point edge on a favourite makes us careful, is in our Berrettini v de Minaur prediction.
The other three, in brief
- Mannarino v Medvedev. Mannarino, a qualifier, beat Jakub Menšík in straight sets. Medvedev needed a deciding tie-break to get past Cameron Norrie after two hours and 31 minutes, per the Erste Bank Open.
- Paul v Alcaraz. Paul beat Luciano Darderi 6–1, 6–1 in 48 minutes. Alcaraz beat Nikoloz Basilashvili 6–1, 7–6 but saved four set points in the second.
- Zverev v Fery. Zverev beat Tallon Griekspoor and, the tournament says, became world No. 1 by reaching this round. Fery knocked out Lorenzo Musetti in three sets.
We do not publish the numbers on members-only calls before they start. When they settle, each one goes on the public record, win or lose; see how a BAI8 call gets settled on the record.
Reading these markets
Two of the top three seeds needed a tie-break to get here, Medvedev in a deciding set. Short, serve-led points make single sets swingy, and a favourite's price has to carry that risk. For how we read a two-way tennis price, see reading a tennis match market.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Get our call on the next match
Thirteen passes of research before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why. Run it in the app on any match.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who plays in the Vienna Open quarter-finals?
Mannarino v Medvedev, Paul v Alcaraz, Zverev v Fery and Berrettini v de Minaur, all on Centre Court on Friday 30 October.
What is BAI8's Vienna quarter-final prediction?
Our public call is Alex de Minaur to beat Matteo Berrettini, at 82.0% with a fair price of 1.22, against 1.48 at Bally Bet. The other three matches have calls on the Desk for members only.
What time are the Vienna quarter-finals?
Mannarino v Medvedev at 12:30 UTC (13:30 in Vienna and Paris), Paul v Alcaraz not before 14:00 UTC, Zverev v Fery not before 16:30 UTC and Berrettini v de Minaur not before 19:00 UTC.
Is Zverev world No. 1?
Yes. The Erste Bank Open says reaching the Vienna quarter-finals took Alexander Zverev to the top of the rankings.