Why some of our calls are not settled yet
17 games we previewed this month have been played but are not on the BAI8 record yet. What that means, why it matters and how we will report them.
On 30 October, 17 games we previewed this month had been played but were not on the BAI8 record. The oldest is Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao from 10 October. This piece lists them, explains how a call can be in that state, and is honest about why it matters.
How a call can be in neither place
A Desk call lives in two places. Before kick-off it is on the live Desk. After it is settled, it is on the public record, win or lose. Between those two points, from kick-off until the result is verified and settled, it is in neither. That is a design choice: the record only lists results that have been checked, so an unverified result never shows up and then changes.
The cost of that choice is a gap. Most calls cross it within hours: this week's ten Serie A calls were all settled the same evening they finished. These 17 have not crossed it yet. We do not know the reason for each, and we are not going to guess.
The open calls
| Date | Game | Sport |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao | Football, La Liga |
| 13 Oct | ASVEL v Crvena Zvezda | Basketball, EuroLeague |
| 16 Oct | Crvena Zvezda v Paris Basketball | Basketball, EuroLeague |
| 17 Oct | Cody Chovancek v Su Young You | MMA |
| 19 Oct | Packers v Cowboys | NFL |
| 20 Oct | Pistons v Celtics | NBA |
| 21 Oct | Heat v Timberwolves | NBA |
| 21 Oct | Nets v Hornets | NBA |
| 22 Oct | Pelicans v Pacers | NBA |
| 24 Oct | Samsunspor v Amed | Football, Süper Lig |
| 24 Oct | Northern Illinois v Hawaii | College football |
| 24 Oct | South Carolina v Tennessee | College football |
| 24 Oct | Arizona v Iowa State | College football |
| 24 Oct | Texas v Ole Miss | College football |
| 25 Oct | Raiders v Rams | NFL |
| 28 Oct | Virtus Bologna v Žalgiris | Basketball, EuroLeague |
| 29 Oct | Chicago Fire v Orlando City | Football, MLS |
Dates are kick-off dates in UTC from our preview files. Each preview still shows the numbers we published before the game.
Why it matters
The public record stands at 341 settled calls, 195 won and 146 lost, +11.87 units. Losses are on it; it is not a list of winners. But 17 open calls is about 5% of the record, and if they went mostly one way and settled late or not at all, the totals would be off by that much. A record that is quick to show wins and slow to show losses would flatter itself, even by accident. You should not have to take our word that it does not.
What we will do
- Report every one. When each settles, we add a "How it settled" section to its preview and count it in the next results piece.
- Keep this list. Our nightly settlement check carries every open preview forward until it is on the record.
- Say so if one stays open. If a call is still not settled, it stays on this list in our results pieces rather than being quietly dropped.
How settlement itself works is in how a BAI8 call gets settled on the record. Why a few hundred calls is still a small sample is in how many bets before a record means anything.
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Common questions
Why is a BAI8 call missing from the record?
The record only lists calls whose result has been verified and settled. A call leaves the live Desk at kick-off, and until it is settled it appears in neither place.
How many BAI8 calls are waiting to settle?
On 30 October, 17 games we wrote previews for this month had been played but were not on the public record, the oldest from 10 October.
Does BAI8 leave losing calls off the record?
The record lists losses as well as wins: 146 of its 341 settled calls are losses. But until the 17 open calls settle, we cannot show you that they will all appear, which is why we list them here.
Where can I see BAI8's numbers for an unsettled call?
In the preview we published before the game. The blog keeps the chance, fair price, best price and edge as they were at publication.