These were our chances before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: result and prediction
What happened
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Who will win Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Premier League, Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (UK time). Full time: Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest.
Full time: Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Crystal Palace to score 1.25 goals and Nottingham Forest 1.34. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.84 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.8% | 7.24 |
| 0–1 | 8.9% | 11.27 |
| 0–0 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
| 1–2 | 8.4% | 11.89 |
| 1–0 | 8.2% | 12.22 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace or draw | 66% | 1.52 |
| Nottingham Forest or draw | 63% | 1.58 |
| Crystal Palace or Nottingham Forest (no draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| Crystal Palace, draw no bet | 52% | 1.93 |
| Nottingham Forest, draw no bet | 48% | 2.08 |
League position
In the table, Crystal Palace are in position 15 of 20 with 4 points, and Nottingham Forest in position 13 with 5.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet. Read our written preview: Palace v Forest prediction: Premier League, 11 October.
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How Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest played out
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Common questions
Who won Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Crystal Palace won 3–1 against Nottingham Forest (Premier League, Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Crystal Palace.
When was Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time.