Sassuolo v FiorentinaSerie A · Mon 2 Nov, 17:30
Full time 2-4These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Sassuolo, lost.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: result and prediction
Serie AMonday 2 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK timeSassuolo
- Laurienté 25'
- Laurienté 65'
2–4
Full timeHalf time 1–1Fiorentina
- Pellegrino 45'+2'
- Njie 50'
- Mastantuono 79'
- Valdepeñas 90'+3'
Venue Mapei Stadium
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser25'
Armand Laurienté1–0 · Sebastiano Esposito
40'
SulemanaYellow card
42'
Radu DragusinYellow card
44'
Alieu NjieYellow card
45'+2'
Mateo Pellegrino1–1 · Alieu Njie
Half time1–1
50'
Alieu Njie1–2 · Marco Brescianini
65'
Armand Laurienté2–2 · Nemanja Matic
79'
Franco Mastantuono2–3 · Pedro Gonçalves
90'+2'
Wilfried GnontoYellow card
90'+3'
Víctor Valdepeñas2–4 · Cher Ndour
90'+5'
Gabriel KullaYellow card
Full time2–4
Key stats
Who will win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Serie A, Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina.
Full time: Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Sassuolo to score 1.54 goals and Fiorentina 1.48. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.53 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.80 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Sassuolo v Fiorentina | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.9% | 9.17 |
| 2–1 | 8.6% | 11.68 |
| 1–2 | 8.2% | 12.14 |
| 1–0 | 7.7% | 12.92 |
| 0–1 | 7.5% | 13.42 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo or draw | 72% | 1.40 |
| Fiorentina or draw | 54% | 1.84 |
| Sassuolo or Fiorentina (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Sassuolo, draw no bet | 62% | 1.62 |
| Fiorentina, draw no bet | 38% | 2.61 |
League position
Sassuolo15of 20, 8 points from 9 games
Fiorentina17of 20, 5 points from 9 games
In the table, Sassuolo are in position 15 of 20 with 8 points, and Fiorentina in position 17 with 5.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet. Read our written preview: Sassuolo v Fiorentina prediction: Serie A, 2 November.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Sassuolo vs Fiorentina played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Sassuolo
Stefano TuratiGFali CandéCD-LJay IdzesCD-RJosh DoigLBSebastian WalukiewiczRBNemanja MaticCMSulemanaLMVasilije AdzicRMSebastiano EspositoFArmand LaurientéLFDomenico BerardiRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Darryl BakolaOn for Sulemana
59'
Kieron BowieOn for Vasilije Adzic
63'
Christ Inao OulaïOn for Nicolò Fagioli
63'
Wilfried GnontoOn for Alieu Njie
77'
BetoOn for Mateo Pellegrino
77'
Pedro GonçalvesOn for Marco Brescianini
77'
Simone CinquegranoOn for Sebastian Walukiewicz
77'
Rafael ObradorOn for Josh Doig
89'
Gabriel KullaOn for Sebastiano Esposito
89'
Víctor ValdepeñasOn for Franco Mastantuono
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 17 meetings since 2017
7Sassuolo
4Draws
6Fiorentina
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Fiorentina won 4–2 away at Sassuolo (Serie A, Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 UK time).
When was Sassuolo vs Fiorentina played?
Serie A, kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 UK time.
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