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American football

American football betting predictions, previews and results. Spreads and totals.

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American football
American football2 min readMoneyline edge when the favourite is shortA short moneyline favourite can still be a bad price. How to turn odds like 1.21 into a chance, compare it with your own, and see the edge go negative.
NFL Week 5: our Seahawks-49ers callOur only NFL Week 5 card is Seahawks v 49ers. San Francisco 52.2% at a best price of 2.56, plus how our last NFL calls settled, misses included.2 min readSeahawks v 49ers prediction: our chancesSeahawks v 49ers on Sunday: we make San Francisco 52.2% and the best price we saw was 2.56, a 13.2 point edge. Our numbers, the injuries and the risks.2 min readWhat missing Nick Bosa does to a 49ers priceNick Bosa is set to miss Seahawks v 49ers with knee and calf injuries. What the reports say, how a pass rusher moves a price, and where our number sits.2 min readNFL Week One spreads, what is knowable nowWritten four weeks before kickoff, this sets out which Week One spread inputs the official roster and injury-report dates still left open.2 min read