Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius prediction, odds and team news
We make IK Sirius 56.0% away at Kalmar, fair price 1.79, and saw 2.30 at Betfair: a 12.5 point edge. Table, absences and risks.
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How it settled
Kalmar 1–0 Sirius. Our call was Sirius to win at 56.0%, fair price 1.79, best price 2.30 at Betfair. The call lost. The Desk settled it at 00:33 UTC on 9 November as a positive-edge miss (+12.5 pts).
Amara Camara scored the only goal in the 28th minute, tucking in the rebound after a Vilmer Tyrén shot, per Kalmar FF. Sirius had 64% of the ball and six shots to Kalmar's four, and still could not score. We were right that Sirius would have more of the game and wrong that it would turn into a win: Kalmar needed the points and made their one clear chance count. How the rest of Sunday's public calls went is in Sunday football predictions: six public Desk calls.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Our call before the match
Written on 7 Nov 2026, before the match. The prices, team news and any "tonight" or "next week" below are as they stood then.
We back IK Sirius to win at Kalmar FF. Our numbers give Sirius 56.0%, the draw 28.8% and Kalmar 15.2%. The best price we saw for Sirius was 2.30 at Betfair, against our fair 1.79, a 12.5 point positive edge. Sirius lead the Allsvenskan; Kalmar sit near the relegation places. The number is an estimate, not a promise.
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC (16:30 local) on Sunday 8 November at Guldfågeln Arena. More Allsvenskan predictions.
Our numbers
| Outcome | Our chance | Fair price | Best price seen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalmar FF | 15.2% | 6.58 | ||
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | ||
| IK Sirius | 56.0% | 1.79 | 2.30, Betfair | +12.5 pts |
The Desk published this card at 19:05 UTC on 6 November. The 2.30 was quoted at 04:53 UTC on 7 November. Fair price is 1 / 0.5601, about 1.79. A price of 2.30 implies 43.5%, so the edge is 56.0% minus 43.5%, about 12.5 points.
Table and form
IK Sirius lead the Allsvenskan on 58 points after a 2–0 win over Halmstad, three clear of Hammarby, per Fotbollsbilagan. They have been strong away (about ten wins from thirteen away games this season in the same reporting). Jesper Uneken returned from a muscle injury for a late cameo against Halmstad.
Kalmar FF sit 13th on 23 points, three above the relegation playoff place. They have struggled to score at home lately, including recent home losses without a goal, per Guldfågeln Arena notes. Toni Koskela is managing a thin squad into the run-in.
Team news
Kalmar:
- Aboubacar Keita is unavailable after a problem dating to national-team duty, per Bollsvenskan and sportchef Mats Winblad.
- Victor Larsson, Melker Hallberg and Marius Söderbäck are hoped to be available, per Koskela.
- Nassef Chourak has missed some training for personal reasons.
Sirius:
- Jesper Uneken is expected to be selectable after returning against Halmstad; minutes may still be managed, per Engelmark to local press.
- Otso Liimatta remains out.
What could make us wrong
Title races tighten. Kalmar are desperate for points and a sold-out home crowd can lift a bottom-half side for ninety minutes. A 56% away chance still loses often. Live card: Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
What this does not tell you
It covers the match result only. It does not price over/under or handicaps. Our chance does not update for late fitness tests on Sunday morning.
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Thirteen passes of research before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who do BAI8 favour in Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius?
IK Sirius away. We give them 56.0%, the draw 28.8% and Kalmar 15.2%.
Is Sirius a value bet at Kalmar?
On our numbers, yes at the price we saw: 2.30 at Betfair at 04:53 UTC on 7 November against our fair 1.79, a 12.5 point edge. A 56% chance still fails about 44% of the time.
When is Kalmar vs Sirius?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:30 UTC (16:30 local) at Guldfågeln Arena, Allsvenskan late season.
Who is missing for Kalmar and Sirius?
Kalmar: Aboubacar Keita out; Hallberg, Larsson and Söderbäck hoped fit. Sirius: Jesper Uneken available again after a muscle issue; Otso Liimatta still out, per Bollsvenskan and Fotbollsbilagan.