Sunday football predictions: six public Desk calls
Six public BAI8 Desk calls for Sunday 8 November and beyond, from JEF United Chiba +16.6 pts to Lugano +12.1 pts. Chances, prices, kick-offs and links.
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How the calls settled
One of the five Sunday cards won. Final scores from BAI8's results feed and, where it has settled them, the public record:
| Match | Final score | Our call | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba v Mito HollyHock | 1–0 | JEF United Chiba | Won (record: 2.05 at BetMGM) |
| Çaykur Rizespor v Erzurum BB | 2–1 | Erzurum BB | Lost on the score; not yet on the record |
| Kalmar FF v IK Sirius | 1–0 | IK Sirius | Lost (record: 2.30 at Betfair) |
| Unión La Calera v Huachipato | 1–0 | Huachipato | Lost on the score; not yet on the record |
| St Gallen v Lugano | 5–0 | Lugano | Lost (record: 2.84 at Pinnacle) |
Leganés v Burgos plays on Friday 13 November and settles on its own preview.
The only winner was the shortest price on the list, and every away call lost, three of them to home sides that the market had right and we had wrong. Four of five wide edges losing in a day says nothing on its own about the model, but it came a day after five of Saturday's six widest gaps lost, and that is worth watching on the record rather than explaining away. Each match is written up on its preview: Kalmar, St Gallen, Rizespor and La Calera.
Our call before the match
Written on 8 Nov 2026, before the match. The prices, team news and any "tonight" or "next week" below are as they stood then.
The BAI8 Desk has six public football calls this morning, five of them on Sunday 8 November. JEF United Chiba at home to Mito HollyHock has the widest edge at +16.6 points. Erzurum BB at Rizespor, IK Sirius at Kalmar, Huachipato at Unión La Calera and Lugano at St Gallen follow, and Leganés v Burgos is already public for Friday. None of these is a promise: an edge is a gap between our chance and a price, and five of Saturday's six widest gaps lost.
The six public cards
| Match | Kick-off (UTC) | Our call | Our chance | Best price | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba v Mito HollyHock | Sun 08:00 | JEF United Chiba | 67.2% | 1.98, BetMGM | +16.6 pts |
| Çaykur Rizespor v Erzurum BB | Sun 10:30 | Erzurum BB | 37.9% | 4.20, Tipico | +14.1 pts |
| Kalmar FF v IK Sirius | Sun 15:30 | IK Sirius | 56.0% | 2.36, Betfair | +13.6 pts |
| Unión La Calera v Huachipato | Sun 20:30 | Huachipato | 38.5% | 3.90, Smarkets | +12.8 pts |
| Leganés v Burgos | Fri 13 Nov 19:30 | Burgos | 39.9% | 3.62, Pinnacle | +12.3 pts |
| St Gallen v Lugano | Sun 13:00 | Lugano | 49.6% | 2.67, Pinnacle | +12.1 pts |
Prices were quoted between 04:52 and 05:03 UTC on 8 November. Edge is our chance minus the chance the price implies. Each card lists one selection; the other outcomes are on the match pages.
JEF United Chiba v Mito HollyHock
This is the one card without its own preview, because it kicks off at 08:00 UTC at the Fukuda Denshi Arena, per J.LEAGUE, before a new page could be crawled. Our numbers: JEF United Chiba 67.2% (fair 1.49), draw 23.7% (fair 4.23), Mito HollyHock 9.2% (fair 10.89). The best home price we saw was 1.98 at BetMGM, which implies 50.5%: a 16.6 point gap. A two-in-three chance still leaves one game in three going the other way. More J1 League predictions.
Two cards that moved since their previews
Rizespor v Erzurum BB. We published the Erzurum card on 2 November. The best price this morning is 4.20 at Tipico against our 37.9%, an edge of 14.1 points. The preview, with team news, is Rizespor vs Erzurumspor prediction, odds and team news.
Kalmar v IK Sirius. Our 56.0% on Sirius is unchanged; the best price has drifted to 2.36 at Betfair, so the edge is now 13.6 points. Preview: Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius prediction, odds and team news.
Our chance does not move when the price moves. Why is in why our chance stays put when the price moves.
Three new previews
- St Gallen vs Lugano prediction, odds and team news: the unbeaten leader away, short of forwards after a Thursday European game.
- La Calera vs Huachipato prediction, odds and team news: bottom of the Chilean table at home, with a draw we rate at 34.1%.
- Leganés vs Burgos prediction, odds and team news: Friday's Segunda División game, published five days early.
What Saturday says about these numbers
Saturday's public cards went two from six: Crewe and Austria Lustenau won, while Gimnasia Mendoza, Pau, Halifax and the Volos draw lost. Wide edges are not safer edges. The full day is in 7 November results: the widest edges lost.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
What this does not tell you
It covers public cards only. Eighteen Sunday fixtures, including Napoli v Lazio and Copenhagen v Brøndby, are members-only on the Desk and have no number here. Prices move after 05:03 UTC; our chances do not.
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Common questions
What are BAI8's public football calls for Sunday 8 November?
JEF United Chiba at home to Mito HollyHock (+16.6 pts), Erzurum BB at Rizespor (+14.1), IK Sirius at Kalmar (+13.6), Huachipato at Unión La Calera (+12.8) and Lugano at St Gallen (+12.1). Leganés v Burgos (+12.3) is also public, for Friday 13 November.
Which Sunday call has the widest edge?
JEF United Chiba, +16.6 points: we give them 67.2% against a best price of 1.98 at BetMGM.
Are the members-only Sunday fixtures included?
No. Napoli v Lazio, Copenhagen v Brøndby, Elche v Betis and 15 other Sunday fixtures are members-only on the Desk, so we publish no number for them here.
Are these calls a promise?
No. An edge is a gap between our chance and a price. Each call loses often, as Saturday's record showed.