NFL Week 5: our Seahawks-49ers call
Our only NFL Week 5 card is Seahawks v 49ers. San Francisco 52.2% at a best price of 2.56, plus how our last NFL calls settled, misses included.
Our only NFL Week 5 call is Seahawks v 49ers on Sunday. We make San Francisco 52.2% and Seattle 47.8%, and the best price we saw on the 49ers was 2.56 at Betfair, a 13.2 point edge. We have no finished card on any other Week 5 game, so this page does not pretend to call the rest of the slate.
The call
| Fixture | Kick-off (UTC) | Our side | Our chance | Fair price | Best price | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks v 49ers | Sun 11 Oct, 20:25 | 49ers | 52.2% | 1.91 | 2.56, Betfair | +13.2 pts |
The full working, with injuries and what could make us wrong, is in Seahawks v 49ers prediction: our chances. The short version: the market has Seattle as clear home favourites, the 49ers are without Nick Bosa, and our number still leans their way.
Why only one game
We publish a card only when every research pass is done and the result has been priced against the market. A Week 5 game missing from this page is not a silent opinion. It means no finished assessment yet.
How our recent NFL calls settled
Three NFL calls sit in our current record. One won, two lost.
| Date | Match | Our side | Our chance | Best price | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct | Cowboys v Buccaneers | Cowboys | 57.0% | 1.21, Betfair | -25.6 pts | Lost |
| 6 Oct | Saints v Falcons | Saints | 51.1% | 1.87, Betfair | -2.4 pts | Lost |
| 4 Oct | Ravens v Titans | Ravens | 68.8% | 1.17, Betway | -16.7 pts | Won |
None of the settled NFL calls had a positive edge. The Cowboys miss is the one to note: we rated them 57.0% while the price implied 82.6%, so we thought they were far less certain than the market did. We cover what that means in moneyline edge when the favourite is short.
What this does not tell you
It does not rank the rest of Week 5. It does not say the 49ers will win; on our numbers they lose nearly half the time. And three NFL settlements are far too few to say anything about how our football numbers perform.
Common questions
Which NFL Week 5 games does BAI8 have a call on?
One so far: Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers on Sunday 11 October. We give San Francisco 52.2%.
How have BAI8's recent NFL calls done?
Of the three NFL calls in our current record, one won and two lost. The Ravens and the Cowboys were both short favourites; the Ravens won and the Cowboys lost.
Why only one NFL game?
We publish a card only when the research passes are complete and a price has been compared. A missing game means no finished assessment, not a view either way.