Portugal vs Denmark prediction and team news

Portugal are clear favourites: Unibet UK had them at 1.48 (12/25) to beat Denmark, with the draw at 4.50 and Denmark at 6.00, when we read the prices at 08:43 UTC on Tuesday 10 November. Portugal have already reached the quarter-finals and need one more point to win Group A4. Denmark are second, three points clear of Wales and Norway, and still have to protect that place.

BAI8 has a researched page for this match: Portugal vs Denmark on BAI8, where you can open our call. The Free plan covers 5 assessments a month, no card needed. There are more Nations League predictions too.

Kick-off is 19:45 in Portugal (19:45 UTC, 20:45 CET) on Saturday 14 November at the Estádio Municipal de Braga, matchday 5 of League A Group 4, per UEFA's match data. It is Portugal's first game since Cristiano Ronaldo announced his farewell to the national team.

What the bookmakers say

These are Unibet UK's prices at 08:43 UTC on 10 November, with the chance each one implies. The three 1X2 chances add up to more than 100%: the extra is the bookmaker's margin, explained in implied probability in one minute.

Market	Price	Implied chance
Portugal to win	1.48	67.6%
Draw	4.50	22.2%
Denmark to win	6.00	16.7%
Over 2.5 goals	1.58	63.3%
Both teams to score: yes	1.70	58.8%

Read as a whole, the market expects a home win with goals in it. Prices move through an international week as squads change; what drives that is in what an international break does to the odds.

What is at stake

	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
Portugal	4	4	0	0	9	4	12
Denmark	4	2	0	2	7	7	6
Wales	4	1	0	3	2	5	3
Norway	4	1	0	3	6	8	3

Table per UEFA, before matchday 5. The top two reach the quarter-finals; the bottom of the group is fighting to stay in League A.

Portugal are through to the quarter-finals already. Sábado reports that one more point secures first place. Their last group game is Wales in Cardiff on Tuesday 17 November.

Denmark are on 6. Wales and Norway, both on 3, play each other in Oslo earlier on Saturday (18:00 CET), so one of them can reach 6 before Denmark kick off in Braga. Denmark finish at home to Norway at Parken on 17 November, and Norway beat them 3–2 in Oslo in September. A point in Braga would matter more to Denmark than to Portugal. How a table like this one bends a price is in what a Nations League table does to the price.

Form: the last five

Portugal, most recent last:

Date	Match	Score
6 Jul 2026	Spain v Portugal (World Cup, round of 16)	1–0
24 Sep 2026	Portugal v Wales (Lisbon)	1–0
27 Sep 2026	Norway v Portugal (Oslo)	1–2
1 Oct 2026	Denmark v Portugal (Copenhagen)	2–4
4 Oct 2026	Portugal v Norway (Porto)	2–1

Four wins from four in the group, all by one or two goals. Gonçalo Ramos and João Félix have three group goals each and João Cancelo two, per the match reports collected on Wikipedia. The World Cup ended in the round of 16 with a 1–0 defeat to Spain, per Yahoo Sports.

Denmark, most recent last:

Date	Match	Score
7 Jun 2026	Denmark v Ukraine (friendly, Odense)	2–1
24 Sep 2026	Norway v Denmark (Oslo)	3–2
27 Sep 2026	Denmark v Wales (Copenhagen)	2–0
1 Oct 2026	Denmark v Portugal (Copenhagen)	2–4
4 Oct 2026	Wales v Denmark (Cardiff)	0–1

Three wins and two defeats, and both defeats came against the two sides with real attacking quality in the group. Rasmus Højlund has three group goals, including the winning penalty in Cardiff, and Mikkel Damsgaard two. Denmark's spring ended with a 2–2 draw in Czechia in the World Cup play-off final on 31 March, and they did not reach the tournament.

Team news

Portugal (28 players, named by Jorge Jesus on 6 November, per Sábado):

• Cristiano Ronaldo is not in the squad after announcing his farewell to the national team.
• Alberto Costa and Gustavo Varela have their first senior call-ups.
• Goalkeepers: Diogo Costa, Rui Silva, Samuel Soares.
• Defenders: Diogo Dalot, Alberto Costa, Rúben Dias, Tomás Araújo, Renato Veiga, António Silva, João Cancelo, Nuno Tavares.
• Midfielders: João Palhinha, Rúben Neves, Mateus Fernandes, Vitinha, João Neves, Bernardo Silva.
• Forwards: Pedro Neto, Francisco Trincão, Carlos Forbes, Rafael Leão, Geovany Quenda, Bruno Fernandes, João Félix, Rodrigo Mora, Gonçalo Ramos, Gustavo Varela, Fábio Silva.

Sábado's report of the list mentions no injuries. Since then, Rafael Leão went off at half-time for his club on 8 November; he called the problem nothing serious and was due further checks before reporting, per Goal Brasil. No Portugal withdrawal had been reported by the morning of 11 November.

Denmark (24 players named by Brian Riemer on 4 November, per TV 2 and RTP, now 25 per O Jogo):

• Patrick Dorgu of Manchester United was added on 9 November. He had been out since September with a thigh injury and missed the first list; Riemer said the staff only learned the day before that the injury was not as bad as they had thought. Dorgu came off the bench and scored in United's 4–4 with Aston Villa on 8 November.
• Andreas Christensen of Barcelona stays out. He returned for his club on 8 November after two months out, but Riemer said he is still recovering and "we cannot take care of that with the national team".
• Alexander Bah (Benfica) and Jesper Lindstrøm (Salzburg) return. Lindstrøm had not played for Denmark in more than 18 months.
• Rasmus Nicolaisen (Toulouse), Andreas Jungdal (Westerlo) and Victor Bak (Midtjylland) are uncapped.
• Two of the squad play their club football in Portugal: Bah at Benfica and Victor Froholdt at FC Porto.
• The forwards are Gustav Isaksen, Andreas Skov Olsen, Mohamed Daramy, Lindstrøm, Rasmus Højlund and William Osula; Pierre-Emile Højbjerg and Morten Hjulmand are in the midfield group.

Head to head

Date	Match	Score
Mar 2025	Denmark v Portugal (Nations League quarter-final, first leg)	1–0
23 Mar 2025	Portugal v Denmark (second leg)	5–2 aet
1 Oct 2026	Denmark v Portugal (Group A4, Copenhagen)	2–4

Denmark won the first leg of the 2025 quarter-final with Højlund's goal in Copenhagen; Portugal turned it round 5–2 after extra time at home, with Francisco Trincão scoring twice, per Al Jazeera. Portugal went on to win that edition, beating Spain on penalties in the final. The three most recent meetings produced 14 goals.

How the match is likely to be shaped

The evidence points one way on the ball and the other way on the scoreline. Portugal are at home, unbeaten in the group and only need a draw to finish first, so they have no reason to chase the game. Denmark have the stronger motive, because a point in Braga protects second place before Norway come to Copenhagen.

Goals are the second thread. The last three meetings produced 14 goals, Portugal score more than two a game in the group and Denmark concede close to two, and the market's 1.58 on over 2.5 goals says the same. Without Ronaldo, the goals have to come from where they have come all autumn: Ramos, Félix and Cancelo already have eight of Portugal's nine.

What would change the shape is an early Denmark goal. Højlund and Damsgaard scored in both of Denmark's defeats, so Denmark have found a way through even when losing.

What could move the price before Saturday

A late withdrawal in either squad, a confirmed line-up that rests players ahead of Cardiff, and the result in Oslo, which finishes before Braga kicks off. If either Norway or Wales wins there, the winner draws level with Denmark on 6 before Denmark kick off.

BAI8 has a researched page for this match: Portugal vs Denmark on BAI8, where you can open our call. The Free plan covers 5 assessments a month, no card needed.

18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

What this does not tell you

It has no BAI8 chance, price or pick: that is on the match page. It does not know the confirmed line-ups, which arrive an hour before kick-off, or any squad change after the morning of 11 November. The odds above are one bookmaker at one moment and will have moved by Saturday. Five games of form is a small sample, and four of Portugal's came against the same two opponents.