Champions League matchday 3: Betis and Brugge
Our two Champions League Desk calls for Wednesday 21 October, Feyenoord in Seville and Club Brugge v Lens, with chances, prices, edges and what could go wrong.
We have two Champions League calls for matchday 3, both on Wednesday 21 October at 19:00 UTC. Feyenoord at Real Betis is the widest gap on the Desk at 21.8 points. Club Brugge at home to Lens is 14.1 points. Both are estimates, not promises, and both are wide enough that we spell out the risks first.
The two calls
| Fixture | Our pick | Our chance | Fair price | Best price seen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis v Feyenoord | Feyenoord | 37.8% | 2.65 | 6.25, Unibet (NL) | +21.8 pts |
| Club Brugge v Lens | Club Brugge | 60.6% | 1.65 | 2.15, 1xBet | +14.1 pts |
Both prices were quoted at 04:48 UTC on 18 October. Expected wins across the two, adding up our chances, is just under one. That is the honest way to read a pair of calls like this: on our numbers, one winner from two is the middle case, not a disappointment.
Real Betis v Feyenoord
We have this almost level: Feyenoord 37.8%, Betis 37.6%, draw 24.6%. The market has Betis clear favourites, which is where the gap comes from. Feyenoord have named a settled side, Betis rotate a lot, and Betis are missing Junior Firpo and Aitor Ruibal. Against that, Feyenoord's reported absences cover most of a back line. Full working in Real Betis v Feyenoord prediction: our chances.
Club Brugge v Lens
We make Brugge 60.6%, draw 20.2%, Lens 19.1%. Brugge won 4–3 at Inter last time out in this competition, and FotMob lists four Lens players out, including Jonathan Gradit and Maik Nawrocki. Another preview reports fuller squads, so team news is the swing factor. Full working in Club Brugge v Lens prediction and our numbers.
Tuesday
Our Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid preview went out on 17 October. That card is no longer on the Desk preview board, so we have not added its numbers to the table above.
What this does not tell you
It does not cover the other matchday 3 fixtures; the Desk only publishes where the research finished. It is match result only. Both gaps are double digits, which is where our misses have clustered lately; see why a very wide edge makes us look twice.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Common questions
What are BAI8's Champions League matchday 3 predictions?
Two Desk cards for Wednesday 21 October: Feyenoord at Real Betis (37.8%, +21.8 point edge at 6.25) and Club Brugge at home to Lens (60.6%, +14.1 point edge at 2.15).
Which matchday 3 call has the biggest edge?
Feyenoord at Real Betis, at 21.8 points. It is also the one we trust least, because Feyenoord's reported injury list is long.
Is there a BAI8 call on Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid?
We previewed it on 17 October. The card has since left the Desk preview board, so we do not repeat its numbers here; the earlier preview stands as published.