Champions League matchday 2: our two calls
Our chances for Lens v Sporting and Villarreal v Napoli on matchday 2 of the Champions League, with fair prices, best prices seen and edges in points.
On this page
We have two Champions League calls on our Desk for matchday 2, both on Tuesday 13 October, and both lean away: Sporting at Lens (39.1%) and Napoli at Villarreal (36.2%). The gaps to the best price are small, 2.1 and 2.3 points, and both quotes are a week old. These are estimates, not promises.
The two cards
| Fixture (UTC) | Our pick | Our chance | Fair price | Best price seen | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Lens v Sporting CP, 16:45 | Sporting CP | 39.1% | 2.56 | 2.70, Coolbet | +2.1 pts |
| Villarreal v Napoli, 19:00 | Napoli | 36.2% | 2.76 | 2.95, Unibet (NL) | +2.3 pts |
The full three-way picture
| Fixture | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| RC Lens v Sporting CP | 33.9% | 27.0% | 39.1% |
| Villarreal v Napoli | 35.8% | 28.0% | 36.2% |
Neither game has a side above 40% on our numbers. That is normal for evenly matched European nights, and it is why the draw matters so much. We explain the draw's share in what the draw is worth in football odds.
Read each game
- Lens v Sporting. Lens are missing Abdallah Sima and beat Lyon 2–1 on Friday, a game where our call went against them. Full card: Lens v Sporting prediction and odds.
- Villarreal v Napoli. Napoli travel with a long absence list and Villarreal wait on Tajon Buchanan. Full card: Villarreal v Napoli prediction and odds.
Why the quotes matter here
Both best prices were seen on 3 October. A league weekend sits between that quote and kick-off, and prices move with team news. If the price you can get today is at or below our fair price, the edge is gone.
What this does not tell you
It does not cover every matchday 2 game, only the two we priced. It does not say either away side will win: on our numbers each loses or draws more often than it wins.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Common questions
Which Champions League games has BAI8 priced for matchday 2?
Two so far. RC Lens v Sporting CP and Villarreal v Napoli, both on Tuesday 13 October.
Where is the biggest gap in BAI8's Champions League calls?
Napoli at Villarreal, 2.3 points, just ahead of Sporting at Lens on 2.1 points. Both are small.
Are the Champions League prices current?
No. Both best prices were quoted on 3 October, a week before kick-off, so check the market before reading the edge.