Champions League Tuesday results: four from seven
BAI8 settled seven Champions League calls from Tuesday 13 October: four won, three lost. Bayern were held 3–3 at Viking and Inter lost to Club Brugge.
Seven BAI8 Champions League calls settled from Tuesday 13 October: four won, three lost. Sporting, Atlético Madrid, Barcelona and Arsenal landed. Napoli, Inter and Bayern Munich did not. Of the two calls with a positive edge, one won (Sporting) and one lost (Napoli). Every number below comes from the public record, misses included.
Every call, settled
| Fixture | Our pick | Our chance | Price seen | Edge | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens v Sporting | Sporting | 39.1% | 2.70, Coolbet | +2.1 pts | 0–2 | Won |
| Villarreal v Napoli | Napoli | 36.2% | 3.25, Unibet (NL) | +5.4 pts | 3–1 | Lost |
| Atlético Madrid v Man Utd | Atlético | 42.6% | 2.31, GTbets | −0.6 pts | 2–0 | Won |
| Galatasaray v Barcelona | Barcelona | 50.4% | 1.34, 1xBet | −24.2 pts | 1–4 | Won |
| Arsenal v Lille | Arsenal | 59.8% | 1.30, 1xBet | −17.1 pts | 3–0 | Won |
| Inter v Club Brugge | Inter | 48.3% | 1.31, GTbets | −28.0 pts | 3–4 | Lost |
| Viking v Bayern Munich | Bayern | 60.1% | 1.12, BetMGM | −29.1 pts | 3–3 | Lost |
Scores are from UEFA and BBC Sport. The record now holds 88 settled calls: 52 won, 36 lost. The 15 positive-edge calls have won 5.
What went right and what did not
The two short favourites that failed were the ones we doubted most. The market priced Bayern at 1.12 (89% implied) and Inter at 1.31 (76%). We had them at 60.1% and 48.3%. Viking led 2–0 at half-time, fell 3–2 behind, then equalised in the final minute after Michael Olise was sent off for two yellow cards in a minute, per The Guardian. Club Brugge won 4–3 at San Siro with a hat-trick from Nicolò Tresoldi. Two results do not prove our lower numbers right, but they are the kind of night those numbers allow for. Why a short price still carries real risk is in what a short favourite really risks.
Napoli was the miss that cost. The widest gap of the night, 5.4 points, lost 3–1 after Napoli led early. The settled working is on Villarreal v Napoli prediction and odds.
Barcelona and Arsenal won at prices we thought too short. Winning does not make a negative-edge call a good price; it makes it a call that won.
What this does not tell you
Seven results say almost nothing about whether our chances are right. That needs hundreds of calls, which is the point of how many bets before a record means anything. It also leaves out the NFL and college football calls settled the same day, which sit on the full record.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Common questions
How did BAI8 do in the Champions League on Tuesday 13 October?
Seven calls settled, four won and three lost. Sporting, Atlético, Barcelona and Arsenal landed; Napoli, Inter and Bayern did not.
Did BAI8's positive-edge calls win on Tuesday?
One of two. Sporting at +2.1 points won 2–0 at Lens; Napoli at +5.4 points lost 3–1 at Villarreal.
What is BAI8's overall record now?
88 settled calls on the public record, 52 won and 36 lost. The 15 calls with a positive edge have won 5.
Where can I see every BAI8 result?
On the public record at bai8.app/record, which lists every published call and how it settled, misses included.