Sunday results: sixteen from twenty-one
BAI8 settled 21 calls on Sunday 11 October: 16 won, 5 lost. Palace and the 49ers landed; Strasbourg did not. Edges and misses listed.
On this page
Sunday 11 October settled 21 calls on the Desk record: 16 won, 5 lost. Two of the three previews we published for the day landed (Palace, 49ers). The Strasbourg card did not. A high hit rate on a day heavy with short favourites is not the same as a good edge day. These are results, not a promise about what comes next.
The three published Sunday cards
| Fixture | Our pick | Price seen | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | Crystal Palace | 2.80, Betfair | +1.1 pts | Won (3–1) |
| Nice v Strasbourg | Strasbourg | 3.07, 1xBet | +5.1 pts | Lost (2–1) |
| Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers | 49ers | 2.58, Betfair | +13.5 pts | Won (32–29) |
Palace came from behind at Selhurst Park. The 49ers won on a late Eddy Pineiro field goal. Nice scored the winner in the 81st minute after trailing and levelling. Detail: Crystal Palace preview, Nice preview, Seahawks preview.
The rest of the Sunday sheet
Positive-edge calls on the day went 2 won / 2 lost (Palace and 49ers won; Strasbourg and Celta Vigo lost). The other fourteen winners were mostly short favourites we still published with a negative edge: Detroit, Denver, Cincinnati, Houston, Southampton, Rennes, Marseille, Freiburg, Bologna, Celtic, Benfica, Besiktas, Arizona State, Anaheim.
The five losses: Strasbourg, Everton at Hull, Juventus at Cagliari, Celta at Elche, and Racing Santander against Valencia.
How to read 16 from 21
Hit rate without sorting by edge is how a tipster sheet looks clever. On this product the useful split is positive-edge versus negative-edge, which is why what a positive edge actually means matters more than a Sunday win count. For staking after a busy day, see when sixteen wins still leave you flat.
The all-time page after Sunday sits at 29 won and 11 lost from 40 settled calls. That is still a small sample.
What this does not tell you
It does not say next Sunday will look the same. It also does not convert wins into bankroll: without stake sizes and closing prices, a 16–5 day is a count, not a P&L.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Common questions
How did BAI8's Sunday 11 October calls finish?
21 calls settled on the Desk record: 16 won and 5 lost. That includes NFL, football and one NHL game.
Did the three published Sunday previews land?
Two of three. Crystal Palace won 3–1 and the 49ers won 32–29. Strasbourg lost 2–1 at Nice.
Does a 16 from 21 day mean the model is hot?
No. Most of those wins were negative-edge short favourites. Hit rate without edge is not the scoreboard we care about.